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Week 5 · 20264 min readUpdated weekly

Clutch Score vs. Consensus: Week 5's Boldest Calls

Where our Clutch Score ranks players most differently than the experts do for Week 5: who we are starting above consensus, and who we are sitting.

The Clutch Score is our own projection of how a player scores this week, built from matchup, Vegas odds, usage and season projections rather than a poll of analysts. Most weeks it lands near expert consensus. Where it doesn't is the interesting part: a gap between our ranking and the field's is where a start/sit edge hides. These are our boldest calls for Week 5.

We line up each player's positional rank in our model against the experts' positional rank for the same week. A back we slot at RB12 whom the consensus has at RB20 is a +8 gap; the wider it is, the bolder the call. Both sides are weekly, so this is a disagreement about Sunday rather than about the season. Our biggest value is Brenton Strange (TE7 to us, TE19 by consensus, +12), and our widest fade is Jordan Addison (WR55 vs WR30, -25).

Week 5 is not locked in yet, so these numbers still move with the projections. They are frozen once the week is captured.

Starts: where we’re higher than consensus

Players our model ranks meaningfully above the experts this week. If we’re right, these are the lineup calls the field is slower to make.

Sits: where we’re lower than consensus

Players our model ranks below the experts this week. Not bad players, just ones whose matchup this week reads worse to us than to the field.

PlayerOur rankConsensusGap
WRJordan AddisonQMINWR55WR30-25
WRMarvin HarrisonARIWR67WR43-24
WRMakai LemonPHIWR65WR45-20
WRKC ConcepcionCLEWR47WR29-18
WRZay FlowersQBALWR27WR10-17
WRJosh DownsINDWR36WR20-16
WRDenzel BostonCLEWR40WR26-14
RBAshton JeantyQLVRB25RB12-13
WRTre TuckerLVWR50WR37-13
RBOmarion HamptonLACRB36RB24-12
WRCarnell TateQTENWR33WR21-12
WRDeebo SamuelSFWR39WR27-12
QBTyler ShoughNOQB22QB13-9
TETyler WarrenINDTE14TE5-9
TEMark AndrewsBALTE23TE14-9
Yahoo integration

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Rankings reflect FantasyPros expert consensus (PPR); projections via Sleeper. Generated live, so the names update as consensus moves.