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Week 1 · 20264 min readLocked before kickoff

Clutch Score vs. Consensus: Week 1's Boldest Calls

Where our Clutch Score ranks players most differently than the experts do for Week 1: who we are starting above consensus, and who we are sitting.

The Clutch Score is our own projection of how a player scores this week, built from matchup, Vegas odds, usage and season projections rather than a poll of analysts. Most weeks it lands near expert consensus. Where it doesn't is the interesting part: a gap between our ranking and the field's is where a start/sit edge hides. These are our boldest calls for Week 1.

We line up each player's positional rank in our model against the experts' positional rank for the same week. A back we slot at RB12 whom the consensus has at RB20 is a +8 gap; the wider it is, the bolder the call. Both sides are weekly, so this is a disagreement about Sunday rather than about the season. Our biggest value is Josh Jacobs (RB45 to us, RB89 by consensus, +44), and our widest fade is Wan'Dale Robinson (WR56 vs WR36, -20).

These calls were locked in on Sep 9, 2026, 5:49 PM ET and do not change afterwards, so they can be checked against what actually happened.

Starts: where we’re higher than consensus

Players our model ranks meaningfully above the experts this week. If we’re right, these are the lineup calls the field is slower to make.

PlayerOur rankConsensusGap
RBJosh JacobsGBRB45RB89+44
RBKyle MonangaiQCHIRB22RB43+21
WRDeebo SamuelSFWR39WR57+18
WRJordan AddisonMINWR26WR44+18
WRJalen CokerCARWR27WR45+18
WRQuentin JohnstonLACWR23WR40+17
WRAlec PierceINDWR37WR52+15
RBChris RodriguezJAXRB29RB42+13
WRMike EvansSFWR15WR28+13
WRBrian ThomasJAXWR29WR41+12
RBBlake CorumLARRB28RB39+11
RBKenny GainwellTBRB21RB31+10
WRLadd McConkeyLACWR6WR16+10
WRRomeo DoubsNEWR40WR50+10
TEMark AndrewsBALTE4TE14+10

Sits: where we’re lower than consensus

Players our model ranks below the experts this week. Not bad players, just ones whose matchup this week reads worse to us than to the field.

PlayerOur rankConsensusGap
WRWan'Dale RobinsonQTENWR56WR36-20
TEKyle PittsATLTE20TE5-15
WRMarvin HarrisonARIWR47WR33-14
TETucker KraftQGBTE22TE8-14
WRMichael WilsonARIWR50WR37-13
WRChris GodwinTBWR42WR29-13
WRNico CollinsHOUWR20WR8-12
WRChris OlaveNOWR18WR7-11
WRStefon DiggsWASWR57WR46-11
TETyler WarrenQINDTE15TE4-11
TEJuwan JohnsonNOTE21TE10-11
RBRhamondre StevensonNERB32RB21-11
WRTerry McLaurinWASWR38WR27-11
RBTyler AllgeierARIRB50RB40-10
RBTravis EtienneNORB24RB15-9

Rankings reflect FantasyPros expert consensus (PPR); projections via Sleeper. Generated live, so the names update as consensus moves.