Josh Downs

IND · WR38 · Age 25 · 5'9" · 171 lbs · Bye 13

FLEX

ConfidenceMedium

Flex-level WR48 in Week 7: a heavy role keeps him in play, but a low implied total leaves him on the bubble.

Clutch Score 8.3 · the WR36 starter line is 9.6 this week.

Clutch Score · Wk 7: 8.3; Our WR48 this week
Consensus, wk 7: WR34
We disagree by: -14 spots

Why · what moved the number

Matchup

Hard

MIN is the 6th-toughest defense against WRs, on 2026 rates.

Pts allowed to WR / gm23.4

Game environment

×0.90

Vegas has IND at 17.5 implied points, below league average. O/U 41.5, spread +6.5.

Implied team total17.5

Volume

A real workload: 81% of the snaps and 43 touches so far.

Snaps · touches81% · 43

Strength of schedule

Weeks 1–18 vs WRs: 10 easy · 3 medium · 4 hard · 4th easiest of 32

BAL

@KC

HOU

@WAS

@PIT

TEN

@MIN

@JAX

DAL

MIA

@HOU

NYG

BYE

@PHI

@TEN

CIN

@CLE

JAX

EasyMediumHardBye 13Hover a week for the pts/gm allowed to WRs in 2026 · this week marked above

Game log · 2026 season

Projected vs actual by week (PPR)Best: 14.2 · Wk 2

bust · 10

Scored We projected This week Rest of seasonRest-of-season bars are Sleeper's baseline, before matchup and Vegas.

Wk	Opp	Proj	FPTS	Stat line
1	vs BAL	9.8	5.7	2 rec · 37 yd · 0 TD
2	@ KC	9.3	14.2	7 rec · 72 yd · 0 TD
3	vs HOU	9.8	12.7	5 rec · 77 yd · 0 TD
4	@ WAS	14.0	4.6	3 rec · 16 yd · 0 TD
5	@ PIT	9.8	7.7	3 rec · 47 yd · 0 TD
6	vs TEN	13.7	8.7	4 rec · 40 yd · 0 TD
7	@ MIN	8.4	3.8	2 rec · 18 yd · 0 TD

Consistency

How reliable this player has been week to week (PPR).

Ceiling

14.2

Best week

Floor

3.8

Worst week

Avg / game

8.2

Boom rate

Games ≥ 20 pts

Bust rate

71%

Games ≤ 10 pts

Season stats

Receptions

Rec Yds

289

Rec TD

Rush Yds

Rush TD

Usage & opportunity

Volume drives fantasy scoring: snaps, touches, and red-zone looks.

Snap share

81%

Of team offense

Targets

20.6% of team targets

Carries

0.6% of team carries

Red-zone

11.5% of team red-zone work

Advanced metrics

What he did with the opportunity, in 2026.

Catch rate

57.1%

Receptions per target

Yds / target

6.9

Per pass thrown his way

Yds before catch

8.2

Per reception

Yds after catch

3.8

Per reception

TD reliance

Of PPR points

Compare every player on advanced metrics →

Start Josh over

Michael Pittman Jr.WR123

Stats via the Sleeper API (PPR) · updated 13h ago