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Patrick Mahomes vs Trevor Lawrence

Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.

QBPatrick MahomesQKC · QB11QBTrevor LawrenceJAX · QB4

Who to draft

Strong edge · 95% confident
Trevor Lawrence
  • Higher projection: 303 vs 279 pts
  • Experts agree: consensus rank 73 vs 99
  • More opportunity: 98% snap share, 23 red-zone touches

Head-to-head

StatMahomesLawrence
Projected points279303
Points / game21.220.6
Games played1417
Expert rank (ECR)#99#73
ADP10092
Positional rankQB11QB4
Snap share97%98%
Red-zone touches1423
Age3026
Bye week57

Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.

Full Patrick Mahomes profileFull Trevor Lawrence profile

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Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.