Justin Herbert vs Trevor Lawrence
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Trevor Lawrence- Higher projection: 303 vs 296 pts
- More points per game: 20.6 vs 18.7
- More opportunity: 98% snap share, 23 red-zone touches
Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Justin Herbert holds the edge in expert consensus (QB8 to QB9). Justin Herbert typically comes off the board first, around pick 83 (round 7) to Trevor Lawrence's pick 103. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Trevor Lawrence at 303 PPR points (17.8 per game) versus Justin Herbert at 296.
Last season Justin Herbert carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 83 touches to Trevor Lawrence's 82), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Trevor Lawrence is the clear pick on the higher projection.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Herbert | Lawrence |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 296 | 303 |
| Points / game | 18.7 | 20.6 |
| Games played | 16 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #69 | #70 |
| ADP | 83 | 103 |
| Positional rank | QB10 | QB4 |
| Snap share | 97% | 98% |
| Red-zone touches | 12 | 23 |
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Bye week | 7 | 7 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence in 2026?
Trevor Lawrence is a clear call over Justin Herbert for 2026, on the higher projection.
Who is projected to score more, Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence?
Trevor Lawrence carries the higher 2026 projection at 303 PPR points (17.8 per game), compared with 296 for Justin Herbert.
Where are Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence being drafted?
Justin Herbert has an ADP around pick 83 (round 7), while Trevor Lawrence goes closer to pick 103 (round 9).
Who is ranked higher, Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence?
Expert consensus ranks Justin Herbert (QB8) ahead of Trevor Lawrence (QB9) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.