Bo Nix vs Patrick Mahomes
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Bo Nix- Higher projection: 296 vs 287 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 96 vs 101
- More opportunity: 100% snap share, 17 red-zone touches
Bo Nix and Patrick Mahomes are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Bo Nix holds the edge in expert consensus (QB12 to QB14). Patrick Mahomes typically comes off the board first, around pick 110 (round 10) to Bo Nix's pick 117. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Bo Nix at 296 PPR points (17.4 per game) versus Patrick Mahomes at 287.
Last season Bo Nix carried the heavier workload (100% snap share, 84 touches to Patrick Mahomes's 65), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Bo Nix is the younger option (age 26), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Bo Nix is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and the bigger workload.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Nix | Mahomes |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 296 | 287 |
| Points / game | 18.6 | 21.2 |
| Games played | 17 | 14 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #96 | #101 |
| ADP | 117 | 110 |
| Positional rank | QB7 | QB11 |
| Snap share | 100% | 97% |
| Red-zone touches | 17 | 14 |
| Age | 26 | 30 |
| Bye week | 10 | 5 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Bo Nix or Patrick Mahomes.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Bo Nix or Patrick Mahomes in 2026?
Bo Nix is a clear call over Patrick Mahomes for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and the bigger workload.
Who is projected to score more, Bo Nix or Patrick Mahomes?
Bo Nix carries the higher 2026 projection at 296 PPR points (17.4 per game), compared with 287 for Patrick Mahomes.
Where are Bo Nix and Patrick Mahomes being drafted?
Patrick Mahomes has an ADP around pick 110 (round 10), while Bo Nix goes closer to pick 117 (round 10).
Who is ranked higher, Bo Nix or Patrick Mahomes?
Expert consensus ranks Bo Nix (QB12) ahead of Patrick Mahomes (QB14) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.