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Patrick Mahomes vs Sam Darnold

Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.

QBPatrick MahomesQKC · QB11QBSam DarnoldSEA · QB13

Who to draft

Strong edge · 95% confident
Patrick Mahomes
  • Higher projection: 279 vs 263 pts
  • Experts agree: consensus rank 99 vs 136
  • More points per game: 21.2 vs 14.7

Head-to-head

StatMahomesDarnold
Projected points279263
Points / game21.214.7
Games played1417
Expert rank (ECR)#99#136
ADP100165
Positional rankQB11QB13
Snap share97%96%
Red-zone touches146
Age3029
Bye week511

Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.

Full Patrick Mahomes profileFull Sam Darnold profile

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Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.