Matthew Stafford vs Trevor Lawrence
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Trevor Lawrence- Higher projection: 303 vs 280 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 70 vs 104
- More opportunity: 98% snap share, 23 red-zone touches
Matthew Stafford and Trevor Lawrence are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Trevor Lawrence holds the edge in expert consensus (QB9 to QB16). Matthew Stafford typically comes off the board first, around pick 94 (round 8) to Trevor Lawrence's pick 103. The 2026 projections give a modest edge: Trevor Lawrence at 303 PPR points (17.8 per game) versus Matthew Stafford at 280.
Last season Trevor Lawrence carried the heavier workload (98% snap share, 82 touches to Matthew Stafford's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Trevor Lawrence is the younger option (age 26), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Trevor Lawrence is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and the bigger workload.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Stafford | Lawrence |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 280 | 303 |
| Points / game | 21.1 | 20.6 |
| Games played | 17 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #104 | #70 |
| ADP | 94 | 103 |
| Positional rank | QB3 | QB4 |
| Snap share | 99% | 98% |
| Red-zone touches | 7 | 23 |
| Age | 38 | 26 |
| Bye week | 11 | 7 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Matthew Stafford or Trevor Lawrence.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Matthew Stafford or Trevor Lawrence in 2026?
Trevor Lawrence is a clear call over Matthew Stafford for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and the bigger workload.
Who is projected to score more, Matthew Stafford or Trevor Lawrence?
Trevor Lawrence carries the higher 2026 projection at 303 PPR points (17.8 per game), compared with 280 for Matthew Stafford.
Where are Matthew Stafford and Trevor Lawrence being drafted?
Matthew Stafford has an ADP around pick 94 (round 8), while Trevor Lawrence goes closer to pick 103 (round 9).
Who is ranked higher, Matthew Stafford or Trevor Lawrence?
Expert consensus ranks Trevor Lawrence (QB9) ahead of Matthew Stafford (QB16) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.