Kyler Murray vs Matthew Stafford
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Matthew Stafford- Experts agree: consensus rank 104 vs 112
- More points per game: 21.1 vs 16.2
- More opportunity: 99% snap share, 7 red-zone touches
Kyler Murray carries more upside if you need a ceiling (younger / higher projection).
Kyler Murray and Matthew Stafford are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Matthew Stafford holds the edge in expert consensus (QB16 to QB17). Matthew Stafford typically comes off the board first, around pick 94 (round 8) to Kyler Murray's pick 152. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Kyler Murray at 283 PPR points (16.7 per game) versus Matthew Stafford at 280.
Last season Kyler Murray carried the heavier workload (99% snap share, 29 touches to Matthew Stafford's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Kyler Murray is the younger option (age 29), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Matthew Stafford is the clear pick on stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP. Kyler Murray carries more upside if you need a ceiling (younger / higher projection).
Head-to-head
| Stat | Murray | Stafford |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 283 | 280 |
| Points / game | 16.2 | 21.1 |
| Games played | 5 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #112 | #104 |
| ADP | 152 | 94 |
| Positional rank | QB38 | QB3 |
| Snap share | 99% | 99% |
| Red-zone touches | 3 | 7 |
| Age | 29 | 38 |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Kyler Murray or Matthew Stafford.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Kyler Murray or Matthew Stafford in 2026?
Matthew Stafford is a clear call over Kyler Murray for 2026, on stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP. Kyler Murray carries more upside if you need a ceiling (younger / higher projection).
Who is projected to score more, Kyler Murray or Matthew Stafford?
Kyler Murray carries the higher 2026 projection at 283 PPR points (16.7 per game), compared with 280 for Matthew Stafford.
Where are Kyler Murray and Matthew Stafford being drafted?
Matthew Stafford has an ADP around pick 94 (round 8), while Kyler Murray goes closer to pick 152 (round 13).
Who is ranked higher, Kyler Murray or Matthew Stafford?
Expert consensus ranks Matthew Stafford (QB16) ahead of Kyler Murray (QB17) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.