Kyler Murray vs Sam Darnold
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Kyler Murray- Higher projection: 283 vs 263 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 112 vs 137
- More points per game: 16.2 vs 14.7
Kyler Murray and Sam Darnold are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Kyler Murray holds the edge in expert consensus (QB17 to QB22). Kyler Murray typically comes off the board first, around pick 152 (round 13) to Sam Darnold's pick 163. The 2026 projections give a modest edge: Kyler Murray at 283 PPR points (16.7 per game) versus Sam Darnold at 263.
Last season Sam Darnold carried the heavier workload (96% snap share, 35 touches to Kyler Murray's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Kyler Murray is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Murray | Darnold |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 283 | 263 |
| Points / game | 16.2 | 14.7 |
| Games played | 5 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #112 | #137 |
| ADP | 152 | 163 |
| Positional rank | QB38 | QB13 |
| Snap share | 99% | 96% |
| Red-zone touches | 3 | 6 |
| Age | 29 | 29 |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Kyler Murray or Sam Darnold.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Kyler Murray or Sam Darnold in 2026?
Kyler Murray is a clear call over Sam Darnold for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Kyler Murray or Sam Darnold?
Kyler Murray carries the higher 2026 projection at 283 PPR points (16.7 per game), compared with 263 for Sam Darnold.
Where are Kyler Murray and Sam Darnold being drafted?
Kyler Murray has an ADP around pick 152 (round 13), while Sam Darnold goes closer to pick 163 (round 14).
Who is ranked higher, Kyler Murray or Sam Darnold?
Expert consensus ranks Kyler Murray (QB17) ahead of Sam Darnold (QB22) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.