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Baker Mayfield vs Kyler Murray

Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.

Who to draft

Strong edge · 95% confident
Kyler Murray
  • Higher projection: 283 vs 275 pts
  • Experts agree: consensus rank 111 vs 118
  • More points per game: 11.1 vs 11.0

Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Kyler Murray holds the edge in expert consensus (QB17 to QB19). Baker Mayfield typically comes off the board first, around pick 144 (round 12) to Kyler Murray's pick 151. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Kyler Murray at 283 PPR points (16.7 per game) versus Baker Mayfield at 275.

Last season Kyler Murray carried the heavier workload (80% snap share, 25 touches to Baker Mayfield's 12), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Kyler Murray is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and the bigger workload.

Head-to-head

StatMayfieldMurray
Projected points275283
Points / game11.011.1
Games played45
Expert rank (ECR)#118#111
ADP144151
Scoring rank (season)QB31QB30
Snap share98%80%
Red-zone touches54
Age3129
Bye week106

Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2026 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.

Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray.

Frequently asked

Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray in 2026?

Kyler Murray is a clear call over Baker Mayfield for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and the bigger workload.

Who is projected to score more, Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray?

Kyler Murray carries the higher 2026 projection at 283 PPR points (16.7 per game), compared with 275 for Baker Mayfield.

Where are Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray being drafted?

Baker Mayfield has an ADP around pick 144 (round 12), while Kyler Murray goes closer to pick 151 (round 13).

Who is ranked higher, Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray?

Expert consensus ranks Kyler Murray (QB17) ahead of Baker Mayfield (QB19) for 2026.

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Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.