Baker Mayfield vs Kyler Murray
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Clear edge · 68% confident
Baker Mayfield- More points per game: 16.6 vs 16.2
- More opportunity: 97% snap share, 8 red-zone touches
- Better positional rank: QB12 vs QB38
Kyler Murray carries more upside if you need a ceiling (younger / higher projection).
Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Kyler Murray holds the edge in expert consensus (QB17 to QB19). Baker Mayfield typically comes off the board first, around pick 145 (round 13) to Kyler Murray's pick 152. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Kyler Murray at 283 PPR points (16.7 per game) versus Baker Mayfield at 275.
Last season Baker Mayfield carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 55 touches to Kyler Murray's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Baker Mayfield is the solid pick on an earlier ADP and the bigger workload. Kyler Murray carries more upside if you need a ceiling (younger / higher projection).
Head-to-head
| Stat | Mayfield | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 275 | 283 |
| Points / game | 16.6 | 16.2 |
| Games played | 17 | 5 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #118 | #112 |
| ADP | 145 | 152 |
| Positional rank | QB12 | QB38 |
| Snap share | 97% | 99% |
| Red-zone touches | 8 | 3 |
| Age | 31 | 29 |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray in 2026?
Baker Mayfield is a solid pick over Kyler Murray for 2026, on an earlier ADP and the bigger workload. Kyler Murray carries more upside if you need a ceiling (younger / higher projection).
Who is projected to score more, Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray?
Kyler Murray carries the higher 2026 projection at 283 PPR points (16.7 per game), compared with 275 for Baker Mayfield.
Where are Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray being drafted?
Baker Mayfield has an ADP around pick 145 (round 13), while Kyler Murray goes closer to pick 152 (round 13).
Who is ranked higher, Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray?
Expert consensus ranks Kyler Murray (QB17) ahead of Baker Mayfield (QB19) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.