Kyler Murray vs Patrick Mahomes
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Patrick Mahomes- Higher projection: 287 vs 283 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 101 vs 112
- More points per game: 21.2 vs 16.2
Kyler Murray and Patrick Mahomes are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Patrick Mahomes holds the edge in expert consensus (QB14 to QB17). Patrick Mahomes typically comes off the board first, around pick 110 (round 10) to Kyler Murray's pick 152. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Patrick Mahomes at 287 PPR points (16.9 per game) versus Kyler Murray at 283.
Last season Patrick Mahomes carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 65 touches to Kyler Murray's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Patrick Mahomes is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Murray | Mahomes |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 283 | 287 |
| Points / game | 16.2 | 21.2 |
| Games played | 5 | 14 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #112 | #101 |
| ADP | 152 | 110 |
| Positional rank | QB38 | QB11 |
| Snap share | 99% | 97% |
| Red-zone touches | 3 | 14 |
| Age | 29 | 30 |
| Bye week | 6 | 5 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes in 2026?
Patrick Mahomes is a clear call over Kyler Murray for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes?
Patrick Mahomes carries the higher 2026 projection at 287 PPR points (16.9 per game), compared with 283 for Kyler Murray.
Where are Kyler Murray and Patrick Mahomes being drafted?
Patrick Mahomes has an ADP around pick 110 (round 10), while Kyler Murray goes closer to pick 152 (round 13).
Who is ranked higher, Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes?
Expert consensus ranks Patrick Mahomes (QB14) ahead of Kyler Murray (QB17) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.