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Justin Herbert vs Patrick Mahomes

Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.

Who to draft

Strong edge · 95% confident
Justin Herbert
  • Higher projection: 303 vs 279 pts
  • Experts agree: consensus rank 67 vs 99
  • More opportunity: 97% snap share, 12 red-zone touches

Head-to-head

StatHerbertMahomes
Projected points303279
Points / game18.721.2
Games played1614
Expert rank (ECR)#67#99
ADP84100
Positional rankQB10QB11
Snap share97%97%
Red-zone touches1214
Age2830
Bye week75

Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.

More comparisons

Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.