Start Justin Herbert or Patrick Mahomes?

Week 1 start/sit. Our Clutch Score projects each player's points this week from matchup, Vegas odds, usage and injury status, then calls who to start.

QBJustin HerbertLAC · QB10

18.3Clutch · Wk 1vs ARI

QBPatrick MahomesQKC · QB11

13.4Clutch · Wk 1vs DEN

Who to start

Strong start

Justin Herbert

Higher Clutch Score this week: 18.3 vs 13.4 projected points.
Better matchup (vs ARI, Medium).
Healthier: no designation vs Questionable.

This week, side by side

Stat	Herbert	Mahomes
Clutch Score (Wk 1)	18.3	13.4
Baseline proj / game	17.4	16.9
Points / game (season)	18.7	21.2
Snap share	97%	97%
Red-zone touches	12	14

Clutch Score is our Week 1 projection (PPR). Higher value wins each row.

Drafting rather than setting a lineup? See the season-long Justin Herbert vs Patrick Mahomes comparison.

More start/sit calls

Justin Herbert or Caleb Williams Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence Justin Herbert or Jalen Hurts Justin Herbert or Dak Prescott Patrick Mahomes or Brock Purdy Patrick Mahomes or Bo Nix

Clutch Score blends the season projection with this week’s matchup, Vegas implied total and injury status. Data via the Sleeper API and ESPN, refreshed daily.