Justin Herbert vs Matthew Stafford
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Justin Herbert- Higher projection: 296 vs 280 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 69 vs 104
- More opportunity: 97% snap share, 12 red-zone touches
Justin Herbert and Matthew Stafford are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Justin Herbert holds the edge in expert consensus (QB8 to QB16). Justin Herbert typically comes off the board first, around pick 83 (round 7) to Matthew Stafford's pick 94. The 2026 projections give a modest edge: Justin Herbert at 296 PPR points (17.4 per game) versus Matthew Stafford at 280.
Last season Justin Herbert carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 83 touches to Matthew Stafford's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Justin Herbert is the younger option (age 28), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Justin Herbert is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Herbert | Stafford |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 296 | 280 |
| Points / game | 18.7 | 21.1 |
| Games played | 16 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #69 | #104 |
| ADP | 83 | 94 |
| Positional rank | QB10 | QB3 |
| Snap share | 97% | 99% |
| Red-zone touches | 12 | 7 |
| Age | 28 | 38 |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Justin Herbert or Matthew Stafford.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Justin Herbert or Matthew Stafford in 2026?
Justin Herbert is a clear call over Matthew Stafford for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Justin Herbert or Matthew Stafford?
Justin Herbert carries the higher 2026 projection at 296 PPR points (17.4 per game), compared with 280 for Matthew Stafford.
Where are Justin Herbert and Matthew Stafford being drafted?
Justin Herbert has an ADP around pick 83 (round 7), while Matthew Stafford goes closer to pick 94 (round 8).
Who is ranked higher, Justin Herbert or Matthew Stafford?
Expert consensus ranks Justin Herbert (QB8) ahead of Matthew Stafford (QB16) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.