Justin Herbert vs Kyler Murray
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Justin Herbert- Higher projection: 296 vs 283 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 69 vs 112
- More points per game: 18.7 vs 16.2
Justin Herbert and Kyler Murray are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Justin Herbert holds the edge in expert consensus (QB8 to QB17). Justin Herbert typically comes off the board first, around pick 83 (round 7) to Kyler Murray's pick 152. The 2026 projections give a modest edge: Justin Herbert at 296 PPR points (17.4 per game) versus Kyler Murray at 283.
Last season Justin Herbert carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 83 touches to Kyler Murray's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Justin Herbert is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Herbert | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 296 | 283 |
| Points / game | 18.7 | 16.2 |
| Games played | 16 | 5 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #69 | #112 |
| ADP | 83 | 152 |
| Positional rank | QB10 | QB38 |
| Snap share | 97% | 99% |
| Red-zone touches | 12 | 3 |
| Age | 28 | 29 |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray in 2026?
Justin Herbert is a clear call over Kyler Murray for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray?
Justin Herbert carries the higher 2026 projection at 296 PPR points (17.4 per game), compared with 283 for Kyler Murray.
Where are Justin Herbert and Kyler Murray being drafted?
Justin Herbert has an ADP around pick 83 (round 7), while Kyler Murray goes closer to pick 152 (round 13).
Who is ranked higher, Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray?
Expert consensus ranks Justin Herbert (QB8) ahead of Kyler Murray (QB17) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.