Baker Mayfield vs Matthew Stafford
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Matthew Stafford- Higher projection: 280 vs 275 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 104 vs 118
- More points per game: 21.1 vs 16.6
Baker Mayfield and Matthew Stafford are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Matthew Stafford holds the edge in expert consensus (QB16 to QB19). Matthew Stafford typically comes off the board first, around pick 94 (round 8) to Baker Mayfield's pick 145. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Matthew Stafford at 280 PPR points (16.5 per game) versus Baker Mayfield at 275.
Last season Baker Mayfield carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 55 touches to Matthew Stafford's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Baker Mayfield is the younger option (age 31), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Matthew Stafford is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Mayfield | Stafford |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 275 | 280 |
| Points / game | 16.6 | 21.1 |
| Games played | 17 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #118 | #104 |
| ADP | 145 | 94 |
| Positional rank | QB12 | QB3 |
| Snap share | 97% | 99% |
| Red-zone touches | 8 | 7 |
| Age | 31 | 38 |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford in 2026?
Matthew Stafford is a clear call over Baker Mayfield for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford?
Matthew Stafford carries the higher 2026 projection at 280 PPR points (16.5 per game), compared with 275 for Baker Mayfield.
Where are Baker Mayfield and Matthew Stafford being drafted?
Matthew Stafford has an ADP around pick 94 (round 8), while Baker Mayfield goes closer to pick 145 (round 13).
Who is ranked higher, Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford?
Expert consensus ranks Matthew Stafford (QB16) ahead of Baker Mayfield (QB19) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.