Baker Mayfield vs Justin Herbert
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Justin Herbert- Higher projection: 296 vs 275 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 69 vs 118
- More points per game: 18.7 vs 16.6
Baker Mayfield and Justin Herbert are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Justin Herbert holds the edge in expert consensus (QB8 to QB19). Justin Herbert typically comes off the board first, around pick 83 (round 7) to Baker Mayfield's pick 145. The 2026 projections give a modest edge: Justin Herbert at 296 PPR points (17.4 per game) versus Baker Mayfield at 275.
Last season Justin Herbert carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 83 touches to Baker Mayfield's 55), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Justin Herbert is the younger option (age 28), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Justin Herbert is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Mayfield | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 275 | 296 |
| Points / game | 16.6 | 18.7 |
| Games played | 17 | 16 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #118 | #69 |
| ADP | 145 | 83 |
| Positional rank | QB12 | QB10 |
| Snap share | 97% | 97% |
| Red-zone touches | 8 | 12 |
| Age | 31 | 28 |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Baker Mayfield or Justin Herbert.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Justin Herbert in 2026?
Justin Herbert is a clear call over Baker Mayfield for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Baker Mayfield or Justin Herbert?
Justin Herbert carries the higher 2026 projection at 296 PPR points (17.4 per game), compared with 275 for Baker Mayfield.
Where are Baker Mayfield and Justin Herbert being drafted?
Justin Herbert has an ADP around pick 83 (round 7), while Baker Mayfield goes closer to pick 145 (round 13).
Who is ranked higher, Baker Mayfield or Justin Herbert?
Expert consensus ranks Justin Herbert (QB8) ahead of Baker Mayfield (QB19) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.