Lamar Jackson vs Matthew Stafford
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Lamar Jackson- Higher projection: 326 vs 280 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 30 vs 104
- More opportunity: 92% snap share, 12 red-zone touches
Lamar Jackson and Matthew Stafford are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Lamar Jackson holds the edge in expert consensus (QB2 to QB16). Lamar Jackson typically comes off the board first, around pick 32 (round 3) to Matthew Stafford's pick 94. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Lamar Jackson at 326 PPR points (19.2 per game) versus Matthew Stafford at 280.
Last season Lamar Jackson carried the heavier workload (92% snap share, 67 touches to Matthew Stafford's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Lamar Jackson is the younger option (age 29), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Lamar Jackson is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Jackson | Stafford |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 326 | 280 |
| Points / game | 17.1 | 21.1 |
| Games played | 13 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #30 | #104 |
| ADP | 32 | 94 |
| Positional rank | QB20 | QB3 |
| Snap share | 92% | 99% |
| Red-zone touches | 12 | 7 |
| Age | 29 | 38 |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Lamar Jackson or Matthew Stafford.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Lamar Jackson or Matthew Stafford in 2026?
Lamar Jackson is a clear call over Matthew Stafford for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Lamar Jackson or Matthew Stafford?
Lamar Jackson carries the higher 2026 projection at 326 PPR points (19.2 per game), compared with 280 for Matthew Stafford.
Where are Lamar Jackson and Matthew Stafford being drafted?
Lamar Jackson has an ADP around pick 32 (round 3), while Matthew Stafford goes closer to pick 94 (round 8).
Who is ranked higher, Lamar Jackson or Matthew Stafford?
Expert consensus ranks Lamar Jackson (QB2) ahead of Matthew Stafford (QB16) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.