Justin Herbert vs Lamar Jackson
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Slight lean · 56% confident- Higher projection: 326 vs 296 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 30 vs 69
- Market favorite: ADP 31.7 vs 83.1
Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Lamar Jackson holds the edge in expert consensus (QB2 to QB8). Lamar Jackson typically comes off the board first, around pick 32 (round 3) to Justin Herbert's pick 83. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Lamar Jackson at 326 PPR points (19.2 per game) versus Justin Herbert at 296.
Last season Justin Herbert carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 83 touches to Lamar Jackson's 67), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Lamar Jackson is the narrow pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Herbert | Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 296 | 326 |
| Points / game | 18.7 | 17.1 |
| Games played | 16 | 13 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #69 | #30 |
| ADP | 83 | 32 |
| Positional rank | QB10 | QB20 |
| Snap share | 97% | 92% |
| Red-zone touches | 12 | 12 |
| Age | 28 | 29 |
| Bye week | 7 | 13 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Justin Herbert or Lamar Jackson.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Justin Herbert or Lamar Jackson in 2026?
Lamar Jackson is a slight lean over Justin Herbert for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Justin Herbert or Lamar Jackson?
Lamar Jackson carries the higher 2026 projection at 326 PPR points (19.2 per game), compared with 296 for Justin Herbert.
Where are Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson being drafted?
Lamar Jackson has an ADP around pick 32 (round 3), while Justin Herbert goes closer to pick 83 (round 7).
Who is ranked higher, Justin Herbert or Lamar Jackson?
Expert consensus ranks Lamar Jackson (QB2) ahead of Justin Herbert (QB8) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.