Josh Allen vs Matthew Stafford
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident- Higher projection: 362 vs 280 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 24 vs 104
- More points per game: 22.0 vs 21.1
Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Josh Allen holds the edge in expert consensus (QB1 to QB16). Josh Allen typically comes off the board first, around pick 21 (round 2) to Matthew Stafford's pick 94. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Josh Allen at 362 PPR points (21.3 per game) versus Matthew Stafford at 280.
Last season Josh Allen carried the heavier workload (98% snap share, 112 touches to Matthew Stafford's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Josh Allen is the younger option (age 30), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Josh Allen is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Allen | Stafford |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 362 | 280 |
| Points / game | 22.0 | 21.1 |
| Games played | 17 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #24 | #104 |
| ADP | 21 | 94 |
| Positional rank | QB1 | QB3 |
| Snap share | 98% | 99% |
| Red-zone touches | 31 | 7 |
| Age | 30 | 38 |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford in 2026?
Josh Allen is a clear call over Matthew Stafford for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford?
Josh Allen carries the higher 2026 projection at 362 PPR points (21.3 per game), compared with 280 for Matthew Stafford.
Where are Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford being drafted?
Josh Allen has an ADP around pick 21 (round 2), while Matthew Stafford goes closer to pick 94 (round 8).
Who is ranked higher, Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford?
Expert consensus ranks Josh Allen (QB1) ahead of Matthew Stafford (QB16) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.