Jalen Hurts vs Trevor Lawrence
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident- Higher projection: 311 vs 303 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 53 vs 70
- More opportunity: 98% snap share, 26 red-zone touches
Jalen Hurts and Trevor Lawrence are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Jalen Hurts holds the edge in expert consensus (QB5 to QB9). Jalen Hurts typically comes off the board first, around pick 59 (round 5) to Trevor Lawrence's pick 103. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Jalen Hurts at 311 PPR points (18.3 per game) versus Trevor Lawrence at 303.
Last season Jalen Hurts carried the heavier workload (98% snap share, 105 touches to Trevor Lawrence's 82), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Jalen Hurts is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Hurts | Lawrence |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 311 | 303 |
| Points / game | 19.1 | 20.6 |
| Games played | 16 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #53 | #70 |
| ADP | 59 | 103 |
| Positional rank | QB9 | QB4 |
| Snap share | 98% | 98% |
| Red-zone touches | 26 | 23 |
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Jalen Hurts or Trevor Lawrence.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Trevor Lawrence in 2026?
Jalen Hurts is a clear call over Trevor Lawrence for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Jalen Hurts or Trevor Lawrence?
Jalen Hurts carries the higher 2026 projection at 311 PPR points (18.3 per game), compared with 303 for Trevor Lawrence.
Where are Jalen Hurts and Trevor Lawrence being drafted?
Jalen Hurts has an ADP around pick 59 (round 5), while Trevor Lawrence goes closer to pick 103 (round 9).
Who is ranked higher, Jalen Hurts or Trevor Lawrence?
Expert consensus ranks Jalen Hurts (QB5) ahead of Trevor Lawrence (QB9) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.