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Jalen Hurts vs Matthew Stafford

Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.

Who to draft

Strong edge · 95% confident
Jalen Hurts
  • Higher projection: 311 vs 280 pts
  • Experts agree: consensus rank 53 vs 104
  • More opportunity: 98% snap share, 26 red-zone touches

Jalen Hurts and Matthew Stafford are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Jalen Hurts holds the edge in expert consensus (QB5 to QB16). Jalen Hurts typically comes off the board first, around pick 59 (round 5) to Matthew Stafford's pick 94. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Jalen Hurts at 311 PPR points (18.3 per game) versus Matthew Stafford at 280.

Last season Jalen Hurts carried the heavier workload (98% snap share, 105 touches to Matthew Stafford's 29), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Jalen Hurts is the younger option (age 28), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Jalen Hurts is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.

Head-to-head

StatHurtsStafford
Projected points311280
Points / game19.121.1
Games played1617
Expert rank (ECR)#53#104
ADP5994
Positional rankQB9QB3
Snap share98%99%
Red-zone touches267
Age2838
Bye week1011

Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.

Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Jalen Hurts or Matthew Stafford.

Frequently asked

Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Matthew Stafford in 2026?

Jalen Hurts is a clear call over Matthew Stafford for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.

Who is projected to score more, Jalen Hurts or Matthew Stafford?

Jalen Hurts carries the higher 2026 projection at 311 PPR points (18.3 per game), compared with 280 for Matthew Stafford.

Where are Jalen Hurts and Matthew Stafford being drafted?

Jalen Hurts has an ADP around pick 59 (round 5), while Matthew Stafford goes closer to pick 94 (round 8).

Who is ranked higher, Jalen Hurts or Matthew Stafford?

Expert consensus ranks Jalen Hurts (QB5) ahead of Matthew Stafford (QB16) for 2026.

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Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.