Baker Mayfield vs Patrick Mahomes
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Patrick Mahomes- Higher projection: 287 vs 275 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 101 vs 118
- More points per game: 21.2 vs 16.6
Baker Mayfield and Patrick Mahomes are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Patrick Mahomes holds the edge in expert consensus (QB14 to QB19). Patrick Mahomes typically comes off the board first, around pick 110 (round 10) to Baker Mayfield's pick 145. The 2026 projections give a modest edge: Patrick Mahomes at 287 PPR points (16.9 per game) versus Baker Mayfield at 275.
Last season Patrick Mahomes carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 65 touches to Baker Mayfield's 55), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Patrick Mahomes is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Mayfield | Mahomes |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 275 | 287 |
| Points / game | 16.6 | 21.2 |
| Games played | 17 | 14 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #118 | #101 |
| ADP | 145 | 110 |
| Positional rank | QB12 | QB11 |
| Snap share | 97% | 97% |
| Red-zone touches | 8 | 14 |
| Age | 31 | 30 |
| Bye week | 10 | 5 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Baker Mayfield or Patrick Mahomes.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Patrick Mahomes in 2026?
Patrick Mahomes is a clear call over Baker Mayfield for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Baker Mayfield or Patrick Mahomes?
Patrick Mahomes carries the higher 2026 projection at 287 PPR points (16.9 per game), compared with 275 for Baker Mayfield.
Where are Baker Mayfield and Patrick Mahomes being drafted?
Patrick Mahomes has an ADP around pick 110 (round 10), while Baker Mayfield goes closer to pick 145 (round 13).
Who is ranked higher, Baker Mayfield or Patrick Mahomes?
Expert consensus ranks Patrick Mahomes (QB14) ahead of Baker Mayfield (QB19) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.