Baker Mayfield vs Joe Burrow
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Joe Burrow- Higher projection: 306 vs 275 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 44 vs 118
- More points per game: 17.4 vs 16.6
Baker Mayfield and Joe Burrow are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Joe Burrow holds the edge in expert consensus (QB4 to QB19). Joe Burrow typically comes off the board first, around pick 52 (round 5) to Baker Mayfield's pick 145. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Joe Burrow at 306 PPR points (18.0 per game) versus Baker Mayfield at 275.
Last season Baker Mayfield carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 55 touches to Joe Burrow's 14), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Joe Burrow is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Mayfield | Burrow |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 275 | 306 |
| Points / game | 16.6 | 17.4 |
| Games played | 17 | 8 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #118 | #44 |
| ADP | 145 | 52 |
| Positional rank | QB12 | QB29 |
| Snap share | 97% | 86% |
| Red-zone touches | 8 | 2 |
| Age | 31 | 29 |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Baker Mayfield or Joe Burrow.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Joe Burrow in 2026?
Joe Burrow is a clear call over Baker Mayfield for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Baker Mayfield or Joe Burrow?
Joe Burrow carries the higher 2026 projection at 306 PPR points (18.0 per game), compared with 275 for Baker Mayfield.
Where are Baker Mayfield and Joe Burrow being drafted?
Joe Burrow has an ADP around pick 52 (round 5), while Baker Mayfield goes closer to pick 145 (round 13).
Who is ranked higher, Baker Mayfield or Joe Burrow?
Expert consensus ranks Joe Burrow (QB4) ahead of Baker Mayfield (QB19) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.