Baker Mayfield vs Jalen Hurts
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident- Higher projection: 311 vs 275 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 53 vs 118
- More points per game: 19.1 vs 16.6
Baker Mayfield and Jalen Hurts are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Jalen Hurts holds the edge in expert consensus (QB5 to QB19). Jalen Hurts typically comes off the board first, around pick 59 (round 5) to Baker Mayfield's pick 145. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Jalen Hurts at 311 PPR points (18.3 per game) versus Baker Mayfield at 275.
Last season Jalen Hurts carried the heavier workload (98% snap share, 105 touches to Baker Mayfield's 55), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Jalen Hurts is the younger option (age 28), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Jalen Hurts is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Mayfield | Hurts |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 275 | 311 |
| Points / game | 16.6 | 19.1 |
| Games played | 17 | 16 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #118 | #53 |
| ADP | 145 | 59 |
| Positional rank | QB12 | QB9 |
| Snap share | 97% | 98% |
| Red-zone touches | 8 | 26 |
| Age | 31 | 28 |
| Bye week | 10 | 10 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Baker Mayfield or Jalen Hurts.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Baker Mayfield or Jalen Hurts in 2026?
Jalen Hurts is a clear call over Baker Mayfield for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Baker Mayfield or Jalen Hurts?
Jalen Hurts carries the higher 2026 projection at 311 PPR points (18.3 per game), compared with 275 for Baker Mayfield.
Where are Baker Mayfield and Jalen Hurts being drafted?
Jalen Hurts has an ADP around pick 59 (round 5), while Baker Mayfield goes closer to pick 145 (round 13).
Who is ranked higher, Baker Mayfield or Jalen Hurts?
Expert consensus ranks Jalen Hurts (QB5) ahead of Baker Mayfield (QB19) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.