Aaron Rodgers vs Matthew Stafford
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Matthew Stafford- Higher projection: 280 vs 177 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 104 vs 196
- More points per game: 21.1 vs 14.6
Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Matthew Stafford holds the edge in expert consensus (QB16 to QB28). Matthew Stafford typically comes off the board first, around pick 94 (round 8) to Aaron Rodgers's pick 229. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Matthew Stafford at 280 PPR points (16.5 per game) versus Aaron Rodgers at 177.
Last season Matthew Stafford carried the heavier workload (99% snap share, 29 touches to Aaron Rodgers's 22), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Matthew Stafford is the younger option (age 38), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Matthew Stafford is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Rodgers | Stafford |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 177 | 280 |
| Points / game | 14.6 | 21.1 |
| Games played | 16 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #196 | #104 |
| ADP | 229 | 94 |
| Positional rank | QB18 | QB3 |
| Snap share | 95% | 99% |
| Red-zone touches | 3 | 7 |
| Age | 42 | 38 |
| Bye week | 9 | 11 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Aaron Rodgers or Matthew Stafford.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Aaron Rodgers or Matthew Stafford in 2026?
Matthew Stafford is a clear call over Aaron Rodgers for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Aaron Rodgers or Matthew Stafford?
Matthew Stafford carries the higher 2026 projection at 280 PPR points (16.5 per game), compared with 177 for Aaron Rodgers.
Where are Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford being drafted?
Matthew Stafford has an ADP around pick 94 (round 8), while Aaron Rodgers goes closer to pick 229 (round 20).
Who is ranked higher, Aaron Rodgers or Matthew Stafford?
Expert consensus ranks Matthew Stafford (QB16) ahead of Aaron Rodgers (QB28) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.