Lamar Jackson vs Patrick Mahomes
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Slight lean · 56% confident
Lamar Jackson- Higher projection: 326 vs 287 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 30 vs 101
- Market favorite: ADP 31.7 vs 110.3
Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Lamar Jackson holds the edge in expert consensus (QB2 to QB14). Lamar Jackson typically comes off the board first, around pick 32 (round 3) to Patrick Mahomes's pick 110. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Lamar Jackson at 326 PPR points (19.2 per game) versus Patrick Mahomes at 287.
Last season Lamar Jackson carried the heavier workload (92% snap share, 67 touches to Patrick Mahomes's 65), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Lamar Jackson is the narrow pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Jackson | Mahomes |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 326 | 287 |
| Points / game | 17.1 | 21.2 |
| Games played | 13 | 14 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #30 | #101 |
| ADP | 32 | 110 |
| Positional rank | QB20 | QB11 |
| Snap share | 92% | 97% |
| Red-zone touches | 12 | 14 |
| Age | 29 | 30 |
| Bye week | 13 | 5 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes in 2026?
Lamar Jackson is a slight lean over Patrick Mahomes for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes?
Lamar Jackson carries the higher 2026 projection at 326 PPR points (19.2 per game), compared with 287 for Patrick Mahomes.
Where are Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes being drafted?
Lamar Jackson has an ADP around pick 32 (round 3), while Patrick Mahomes goes closer to pick 110 (round 10).
Who is ranked higher, Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes?
Expert consensus ranks Lamar Jackson (QB2) ahead of Patrick Mahomes (QB14) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.