Joe Burrow vs Patrick Mahomes
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Slight lean · 56% confident
Joe Burrow- Higher projection: 306 vs 287 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 44 vs 101
- Market favorite: ADP 52.2 vs 110.3
Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Joe Burrow holds the edge in expert consensus (QB4 to QB14). Joe Burrow typically comes off the board first, around pick 52 (round 5) to Patrick Mahomes's pick 110. The 2026 projections give a modest edge: Joe Burrow at 306 PPR points (18.0 per game) versus Patrick Mahomes at 287.
Last season Patrick Mahomes carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 65 touches to Joe Burrow's 14), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Joe Burrow is the narrow pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Burrow | Mahomes |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 306 | 287 |
| Points / game | 17.4 | 21.2 |
| Games played | 8 | 14 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #44 | #101 |
| ADP | 52 | 110 |
| Positional rank | QB29 | QB11 |
| Snap share | 86% | 97% |
| Red-zone touches | 2 | 14 |
| Age | 29 | 30 |
| Bye week | 6 | 5 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes in 2026?
Joe Burrow is a slight lean over Patrick Mahomes for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes?
Joe Burrow carries the higher 2026 projection at 306 PPR points (18.0 per game), compared with 287 for Patrick Mahomes.
Where are Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes being drafted?
Joe Burrow has an ADP around pick 52 (round 5), while Patrick Mahomes goes closer to pick 110 (round 10).
Who is ranked higher, Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes?
Expert consensus ranks Joe Burrow (QB4) ahead of Patrick Mahomes (QB14) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.