Jalen Hurts vs Patrick Mahomes
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Jalen Hurts- Higher projection: 311 vs 287 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 53 vs 101
- More opportunity: 98% snap share, 26 red-zone touches
Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Jalen Hurts holds the edge in expert consensus (QB5 to QB14). Jalen Hurts typically comes off the board first, around pick 59 (round 5) to Patrick Mahomes's pick 110. The 2026 projections give a modest edge: Jalen Hurts at 311 PPR points (18.3 per game) versus Patrick Mahomes at 287.
Last season Jalen Hurts carried the heavier workload (98% snap share, 105 touches to Patrick Mahomes's 65), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Jalen Hurts is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Hurts | Mahomes |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 311 | 287 |
| Points / game | 19.1 | 21.2 |
| Games played | 16 | 14 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #53 | #101 |
| ADP | 59 | 110 |
| Positional rank | QB9 | QB11 |
| Snap share | 98% | 97% |
| Red-zone touches | 26 | 14 |
| Age | 28 | 30 |
| Bye week | 10 | 5 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes in 2026?
Jalen Hurts is a clear call over Patrick Mahomes for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes?
Jalen Hurts carries the higher 2026 projection at 311 PPR points (18.3 per game), compared with 287 for Patrick Mahomes.
Where are Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes being drafted?
Jalen Hurts has an ADP around pick 59 (round 5), while Patrick Mahomes goes closer to pick 110 (round 10).
Who is ranked higher, Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes?
Expert consensus ranks Jalen Hurts (QB5) ahead of Patrick Mahomes (QB14) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.