Jake Ferguson vs Theo Johnson
Two tight ends fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Jake Ferguson- Higher projection: 160 vs 77 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 124 vs 287
- More points per game: 2.6 vs 1.9
Jake Ferguson and Theo Johnson are a common 2026 draft-day decision at tight end. Jake Ferguson holds the edge in expert consensus (TE14 to TE34). Jake Ferguson typically comes off the board first, around pick 100 (round 9) to Theo Johnson's pick 232. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Jake Ferguson at 160 PPR points (9.4 per game) versus Theo Johnson at 77.
Last season Jake Ferguson carried the heavier workload (0% snap share, 2 touches to Theo Johnson's 1), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Jake Ferguson is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Ferguson | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 160 | 77 |
| Points / game | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Games played | 1 | 1 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #124 | #287 |
| ADP | 100 | 232 |
| Positional rank | TE40 | TE46 |
| Snap share | 0% | 0% |
| Red-zone touches | 1 | 0 |
| Age | 27 | 25 |
| Bye week | 14 | 8 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2026 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Jake Ferguson or Theo Johnson.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Jake Ferguson or Theo Johnson in 2026?
Jake Ferguson is a clear call over Theo Johnson for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Jake Ferguson or Theo Johnson?
Jake Ferguson carries the higher 2026 projection at 160 PPR points (9.4 per game), compared with 77 for Theo Johnson.
Where are Jake Ferguson and Theo Johnson being drafted?
Jake Ferguson has an ADP around pick 100 (round 9), while Theo Johnson goes closer to pick 232 (round 20).
Who is ranked higher, Jake Ferguson or Theo Johnson?
Expert consensus ranks Jake Ferguson (TE14) ahead of Theo Johnson (TE34) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.