Dalton Kincaid vs Jake Ferguson
Two tight ends fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Slight lean · 56% confident
Dalton Kincaid- Higher projection: 164 vs 160 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 109 vs 125
- Market favorite: ADP 88.6 vs 98.4
Dalton Kincaid and Jake Ferguson are a common 2026 draft-day decision at tight end. Dalton Kincaid holds the edge in expert consensus (TE11 to TE14). Dalton Kincaid typically comes off the board first, around pick 89 (round 8) to Jake Ferguson's pick 98. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Dalton Kincaid at 164 PPR points (9.6 per game) versus Jake Ferguson at 160.
Last season Jake Ferguson carried the heavier workload (67% snap share, 103 touches to Dalton Kincaid's 49), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Dalton Kincaid is the narrow pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Kincaid | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 164 | 160 |
| Points / game | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| Games played | 12 | 17 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #109 | #125 |
| ADP | 89 | 98 |
| Positional rank | TE19 | TE5 |
| Snap share | 40% | 67% |
| Red-zone touches | 6 | 23 |
| Age | 26 | 27 |
| Bye week | 7 | 14 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson in 2026?
Dalton Kincaid is a slight lean over Jake Ferguson for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson?
Dalton Kincaid carries the higher 2026 projection at 164 PPR points (9.6 per game), compared with 160 for Jake Ferguson.
Where are Dalton Kincaid and Jake Ferguson being drafted?
Dalton Kincaid has an ADP around pick 89 (round 8), while Jake Ferguson goes closer to pick 98 (round 9).
Who is ranked higher, Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson?
Expert consensus ranks Dalton Kincaid (TE11) ahead of Jake Ferguson (TE14) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.