Dalton Kincaid vs Jake Ferguson
Two tight ends fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident- Higher projection: 164 vs 160 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 110 vs 124
- More points per game: 10.1 vs 7.4
Dalton Kincaid and Jake Ferguson are a common 2026 draft-day decision at tight end. Dalton Kincaid holds the edge in expert consensus (TE11 to TE14). Dalton Kincaid typically comes off the board first, around pick 88 (round 8) to Jake Ferguson's pick 100. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Dalton Kincaid at 164 PPR points (9.6 per game) versus Jake Ferguson at 160.
Last season Dalton Kincaid carried the heavier workload (68% snap share, 29 touches to Jake Ferguson's 24), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. For a 2026 redraft, Dalton Kincaid is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Kincaid | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 164 | 160 |
| Points / game | 10.1 | 7.4 |
| Games played | 6 | 6 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #110 | #124 |
| ADP | 88 | 100 |
| Scoring rank (season) | TE18 | TE26 |
| Snap share | 68% | 68% |
| Red-zone touches | 5 | 4 |
| Age | 27 | 27 |
| Bye week | 7 | 14 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2026 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson in 2026?
Dalton Kincaid is a clear call over Jake Ferguson for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson?
Dalton Kincaid carries the higher 2026 projection at 164 PPR points (9.6 per game), compared with 160 for Jake Ferguson.
Where are Dalton Kincaid and Jake Ferguson being drafted?
Dalton Kincaid has an ADP around pick 88 (round 8), while Jake Ferguson goes closer to pick 100 (round 9).
Who is ranked higher, Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson?
Expert consensus ranks Dalton Kincaid (TE11) ahead of Jake Ferguson (TE14) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.