Caleb Williams vs Patrick Mahomes
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Caleb Williams- Higher projection: 299 vs 287 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 63 vs 101
- More opportunity: 99% snap share, 21 red-zone touches
Caleb Williams and Patrick Mahomes are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Caleb Williams holds the edge in expert consensus (QB7 to QB14). Caleb Williams typically comes off the board first, around pick 71 (round 6) to Patrick Mahomes's pick 110. The 2026 projections give a modest edge: Caleb Williams at 299 PPR points (17.6 per game) versus Patrick Mahomes at 287.
Last season Caleb Williams carried the heavier workload (99% snap share, 79 touches to Patrick Mahomes's 65), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Caleb Williams is the younger option (age 24), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Caleb Williams is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Williams | Mahomes |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 299 | 287 |
| Points / game | 19.1 | 21.2 |
| Games played | 17 | 14 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #63 | #101 |
| ADP | 71 | 110 |
| Positional rank | QB5 | QB11 |
| Snap share | 99% | 97% |
| Red-zone touches | 21 | 14 |
| Age | 24 | 30 |
| Bye week | 10 | 5 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes in 2026?
Caleb Williams is a clear call over Patrick Mahomes for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes?
Caleb Williams carries the higher 2026 projection at 299 PPR points (17.6 per game), compared with 287 for Patrick Mahomes.
Where are Caleb Williams and Patrick Mahomes being drafted?
Caleb Williams has an ADP around pick 71 (round 6), while Patrick Mahomes goes closer to pick 110 (round 10).
Who is ranked higher, Caleb Williams or Patrick Mahomes?
Expert consensus ranks Caleb Williams (QB7) ahead of Patrick Mahomes (QB14) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.