Caleb Williams vs Joe Burrow
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Slight lean · 56% confident
Joe Burrow- Higher projection: 306 vs 299 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 44 vs 63
- Market favorite: ADP 52.2 vs 70.6
Caleb Williams and Joe Burrow are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Joe Burrow holds the edge in expert consensus (QB4 to QB7). Joe Burrow typically comes off the board first, around pick 52 (round 5) to Caleb Williams's pick 71. The 2026 projections are nearly even: Joe Burrow at 306 PPR points (18.0 per game) versus Caleb Williams at 299.
Last season Caleb Williams carried the heavier workload (99% snap share, 79 touches to Joe Burrow's 14), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. Caleb Williams is the younger option (age 24), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Joe Burrow is the narrow pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Williams | Burrow |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 299 | 306 |
| Points / game | 19.1 | 17.4 |
| Games played | 17 | 8 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #63 | #44 |
| ADP | 71 | 52 |
| Positional rank | QB5 | QB29 |
| Snap share | 99% | 86% |
| Red-zone touches | 21 | 2 |
| Age | 24 | 29 |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: Caleb Williams or Joe Burrow.
Frequently asked
Should I draft Caleb Williams or Joe Burrow in 2026?
Joe Burrow is a slight lean over Caleb Williams for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, Caleb Williams or Joe Burrow?
Joe Burrow carries the higher 2026 projection at 306 PPR points (18.0 per game), compared with 299 for Caleb Williams.
Where are Caleb Williams and Joe Burrow being drafted?
Joe Burrow has an ADP around pick 52 (round 5), while Caleb Williams goes closer to pick 71 (round 6).
Who is ranked higher, Caleb Williams or Joe Burrow?
Expert consensus ranks Joe Burrow (QB4) ahead of Caleb Williams (QB7) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.