C.J. Stroud vs Patrick Mahomes
Two quarterbacks fantasy managers weigh against each other for 2026. Here is the head-to-head on projections, expert consensus, ADP and usage, with our Clutch Score verdict on who to draft.
Who to draft
Strong edge · 95% confident
Patrick Mahomes- Higher projection: 287 vs 248 pts
- Experts agree: consensus rank 101 vs 138
- More points per game: 21.2 vs 15.5
C.J. Stroud and Patrick Mahomes are a common 2026 draft-day decision at quarterback. Patrick Mahomes holds the edge in expert consensus (QB14 to QB23). Patrick Mahomes typically comes off the board first, around pick 110 (round 10) to C.J. Stroud's pick 202. The 2026 projections clearly separate them: Patrick Mahomes at 287 PPR points (16.9 per game) versus C.J. Stroud at 248.
Last season Patrick Mahomes carried the heavier workload (97% snap share, 65 touches to C.J. Stroud's 48), and opportunity is the most stable predictor of fantasy value. C.J. Stroud is the younger option (age 24), which tilts the long-term and dynasty edge. For a 2026 redraft, Patrick Mahomes is the clear pick on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Head-to-head
| Stat | Stroud | Mahomes |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 248 | 287 |
| Points / game | 15.5 | 21.2 |
| Games played | 14 | 14 |
| Expert rank (ECR) | #138 | #101 |
| ADP | 202 | 110 |
| Positional rank | QB21 | QB11 |
| Snap share | 93% | 97% |
| Red-zone touches | 8 | 14 |
| Age | 24 | 30 |
| Bye week | 8 | 5 |
Highlighted value wins each row. Season stats are 2025 (PPR); projections, ADP and consensus are for 2026.
Setting a lineup this week? Start/sit: C.J. Stroud or Patrick Mahomes.
Frequently asked
Should I draft C.J. Stroud or Patrick Mahomes in 2026?
Patrick Mahomes is a clear call over C.J. Stroud for 2026, on the higher projection, stronger expert consensus and an earlier ADP.
Who is projected to score more, C.J. Stroud or Patrick Mahomes?
Patrick Mahomes carries the higher 2026 projection at 287 PPR points (16.9 per game), compared with 248 for C.J. Stroud.
Where are C.J. Stroud and Patrick Mahomes being drafted?
Patrick Mahomes has an ADP around pick 110 (round 10), while C.J. Stroud goes closer to pick 202 (round 17).
Who is ranked higher, C.J. Stroud or Patrick Mahomes?
Expert consensus ranks Patrick Mahomes (QB14) ahead of C.J. Stroud (QB23) for 2026.
More comparisons
Verdict blends projections, usage, positional rank, consensus and health. Data via the Sleeper API and FantasyPros consensus, refreshed daily.